Ice Jam Prediction
Presented by 
Kate White
U. S. Army Corps of Engineers
at the
COMET Hydrometeorology 00-1 Course

Table of Contents

Predictions of interest

Why try to predict ice jams?

Ideal ice jam prediction model

Ice Jam Prediction Model

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Ice Jam Prediction Issues

Important Variables

Important Variables

Modeling Considerations

Frequent problems with ice-related data

Types of jam prediction models

Brief review of existing breakup jam prediction models

Threshold identification

Shuliakovskii 1963

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Missouri River at Williston, ND

Threshold Models

Threshold Models

Threshold Models

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Discriminant Function Analysis

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“generalized, site-transferable methods”

Deterministic Models

Deterministic Models

Deterministic Models

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What about climate change?

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Summary

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Home Page: COMET Homepage

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